Q: Did mishandling of the #TrumpVirus swing the election by outright killing a critical margin of voters?

A: No.

Comparing COVID-19 deaths and election margins in the four critical states AZ, GA, and NV, plus Wisconsin because reasons, we see margins well above deaths in all but one case:

State	Electoral Margin	Covid-19 deaths
AZ	29,861	6,109
GA	4,430	8,608
NV	22,657	1,845
PA	28,883	9,059
WI	20,539	2,256

Of the four critical states, any one of which is sufficient to provide a Biden victory, and adding in Wisconsin just because, only Georgia’s Covid-19 deaths exceed the popular vote margin (bolded).

TRUMP DID NOT LOSE THE ELECTION BY SUCCESSFULLY KILLING OFF HIS VOTER BASE, THOUGH HE ARGUABLY CAME CLOSE, AND NOT FOR LACK OF TRYING AND/OR INCOMPETENCE.

Other effects, e.g., disaffecting voters through incompetence, fear, etc, may have changed the outcome. But the needless death of 238,000 Americans as of election day did not do so of itself. Deaths have been doubling about every three months, and multiple doubling periods would be required to exceed vote margins sufficient to cchange overall results. With faster spread and rates of increase that time might be less.

Data from Worldometers (COVID-19) and ABC News (election returns).

#covid19 #election2020 #BidenHarris2020