The future of polling: AI chatbots predict elections better than humans.
"In a closely watched New York Democratic primary in June, centrist George Latimer ousted incumbent Jamaal Bowman by a wide margin of 58.7% to 41.3%."
"Ahead of the vote, two 19-year-old college dropouts in Manhattan conducted a poll that accurately predicted the results within 371 votes. Their secret? They didn't survey a single person. Instead, they asked thousands of AI chatbots which candidate they preferred."
"For election results, a seven-person company called Aaru uses census data to replicate voter districts, creating AI agents essentially programmed to think like the voters they are copying. Each agent is given hundreds of personality traits, from their aspirations to their family relationships. The agents are constantly surfing the internet and gathering information meant to mimic the media diets of the humans they're replicating, which sometimes causes them to change their voting preferences."
A disturbing implication of this is that all of our voting choices are a more-or-less straightforward consequence of our media diets. So the real choice isn't who to vote for, it's what media to pay attention to.
No people, no problem: AI chatbots predict elections better than humans
