According to this opinion piece by an epidemiologist, if the virus stays the same and compounding factors increase your chances of #longcovid with each infection, and you get a bad #covid infection every 2 years or so, you have <5% chance of having "some" form of long covid in your lifetime if you are vaccinated, the vast majority lasting no more than a month. I am skeptical at this point but I hope he's right. Unvaccinated according to his chart are nearly 3 times as likely to catch some form of long covid.

https://www.stuff.co.nz/national/health/coronavirus/301028013/the-future-risk-of-long-covid