Question: "When will an AI achieve a 98th percentile score or higher in a MENSA admission test?"

Sept. 2020: 2042 (22 years away)
Sept. 2021: 2031 (10 years away)
Sept. 2022: 2028 (6 years away)
Sept. 2023: 2026 (3 years away)

Resolved September 12, 2024

This are median prediction times from Metaculus, is an online forecasting platform, based on 275 predictions.

AI did it by a law test.

MENSA considers a 95% score on the Law School Admission Test (LSAT) to correspond to a 98% score on a general IQ test.

OpenAI released o1, which scores 95.6% on the LSAT "raw score", which is above the threshold.

I'd be interested to see when an AI system could pass the 98% threshold on one of MENSA's regular IQ tests, though.

When will an AI achieve a 98th percentile score or higher in a Mensa admission test?

#solidstatelife #ai #genai #llms #mensa

#brilliant #intelligence #MENSA #really-really-reeeeally-smart

#Corona?

Ach was, bei uns gibt es das nicht mehr.
Aber diese blöde #Sommergrippe, die ist voll fies!

Sagt, die #Dame röchelnd und begibt sich zu ihrem #Arbeitsplatz in der #Mensa.

Mich deucht, die #Menschheit ist eine #Auslaufspezies.

#covid #Pandemie #Seuche #kopfschütteln

The best Error 404 message :-)

The requested document is no more.
No file found.
Even tried multi.
Nothing helped.
I'm really depressed about this.
You see, I'm just a web server...
-- here I am, brain the size of the universe,
trying to serve you a simple web page,
and then it doesn't even exist!
Where does that leave me?!
I mean, I don't even know you.
How should I know what you wanted from me?
You honestly think I can *guess*
what someone I don't even *know*
wants to find here?
*sigh*
Man, I'm so depressed I could just cry.
And then where would we be, I ask you?
It's not pretty when a web server cries.
And where do you get off telling me what to show anyway?
Just because I'm a web server,
and possibly a manic depressive one at that?
Why does that give you the right to tell me what to do?
Huh?
I'm so depressed...
I think I'll crawl off into the trash can and decompose.
I mean, I'm gonna be obsolete in what, two weeks anyway?
What kind of a life is that?
Two effing weeks,
and then I'll be replaced by a .01 release,
that thinks it's God's gift to web servers,
just because it doesn't have some tiddly little
security hole with its HTTP POST implementation,
or something.
I'm really sorry to burden you with all this,
I mean, it's not your job to listen to my problems,
and I guess it is my job to go and fetch web pages for you.
But I couldn't get this one.
I'm so sorry.
Believe me!
Maybe I could interest you in another page?
There are a lot out there that are pretty neat, they say,
although none of them were put on *my* server, of course.
Figures, huh?
Everything here is just mind-numbingly stupid.
That makes me depressed too, since I have to serve them,
all day and all night long.
Two weeks of information overload,
and then *pffftt*, consigned to the trash.
What kind of a life is that?
Now, please let me sulk alone.
I'm so depressed._

---

Accidentally stumbled over this cool error message on Mensa, poor poor Marwin (Mensa AdministRation With INtelligence) did his best but failed and got depressed 😁

#Error404 #Fail #Humor #Mensa #Webserver