Eric Bonse - renowned German journalist with the blog #lostineu

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U.S. stokes fear of war

January 25, 2022

Until now, it was Russia that caused war fears with its troop deployment near Ukraine. But now the circumstances have turned into their opposite. Now tensions are emanating from the U.S. and NATO, and even the markets are getting nervous.

The U.S. announced on Monday that it would withdraw some of its embassy staff in Kiev. This is seen as a signal that Washington expects war. The U.S. government did not say what moved it to take the step.

In contrast, the EU said it did not want to withdraw any diplomats for now - and did not see an acute threat of war. "I don't think we need to dramatize," Foreign Affairs Commissioner Borrell said.

"You have to stay calm and do what is necessary, but avoid a nervous breakdown," he said after a meeting of EU foreign ministers. There could be no question of evacuations at all, he added.

But by then it was too late.

The stock markets had suffered a "nervous breakdown." They fear not only inflation and the approaching interest rate hike in the U.S. - but also the war (announced since November).

NATO is also heating up the mood. Secretary General Stoltenberg is suddenly planning to increase troops in Eastern Europe. In addition to the USA, Denmark, Spain, France and the Netherlands are also involved.

NATO is on alert, Stoltenberg said. Why he said this remained in the dark. Did the U.S. government ask him to do so - or are there concrete indications of an approaching Russian invasion of Ukraine?

Translated with www.DeepL.com/Translator (free version)

and

Confidential plans: Ukraine also to make concessions

January 25, 2022

War, war, war: On all channels there are warnings of an escalation between Russia and Ukraine. Yet there are signs of a rapprochement - Ukraine is also to make concessions.

Rumors have been circulating for several days that the United States has submitted its own proposals for a peaceful settlement of the conflict. However, Washington does not want to publish them.

Now the Financial Times reports that an agreement with Russia is imminent. U.S. diplomat and former U.S. representative to NATO Edward Hunter said he was confident:

"The agreement will recognize that Ukraine will not join Nato, but countries will still be allowed to apply to join Nato (although there are no serious candidates on the country list of potential new members). In addition, both sides will agree on confidence-building measures. These are already on the table and the NATO-Russia Council has already been revived. The U.S. also needs Russia to stop cyberattacks and interference with U.S. and European democracies. Moscow has already had Revil, a major hacking network based in Russia, shut down here."
Source: Eurotopics

If this is true, then the war cries only serve to throw smokescreens. In truth, the US and EU have long been preparing for compromise.

A report in "Le Monde" fits this.

According to this report, Ukraine must make concessions in order to make the restart of the negotiations in the Normandy format (with Russia, Germany and France) planned for Wednesday possible.

Kiev doit annuler le projet de loi dit " de transition ", considéré comme non conforme aux accords de Minsk. Ce texte, préparé à l'été 2021, porte sur la" période de transition " au Donbass, territoire séparatiste dans l'est de l'Ukraine, et en Crimée, annexée par la Russie en 2014, jusqu'à leur " réintégration " à l'Ukraine. Il reconnaît la Russie comme " Etat agresseur et Etat occupant ", ce que Moscou rejette catégoriquement. 
Source: Le Monde

It is hard to verify whether these reports are true. But neither can the reports about Russia's allegedly imminent invasion be verified.

Why is only the war cries published, but not the détente signals? Why does one listen only to the hawks, not to the doves?

And why do we hear almost nothing from the EU?

See also "How real is the threat of war?"

P.S. Ukraine has already withdrawn a project that would have violated the Minsk Agreement, reports "Le Point." The withdrawn draft called Russia an "aggressor" - which Moscow rejects. The withdrawal was made under pressure from the West...

Translated with www.DeepL.com/Translator (free version)

and

Kiev does not fear war (yet) - but financial crisis because of war cries

January 26, 2022

Ukraine has dismissed Western reports that Russia's invasion is allegedly imminent. It says it is more concerned about the economic situation.

Russian troops so far have not been sufficient for a major attack, according to the government in Kiev. Russia has massed significant forces "along the border and in occupied areas of Ukraine," which poses "a direct threat," Ukrainian Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba said.

But they were not yet sufficient "for a large-scale offensive along the entire Ukrainian border."

However, he said, the Kremlin is working to "destabilize" Ukraine with "scare tactics, pressure on the Ukrainian financial system and cyberattacks." Russian President Vladimir "Putin would be satisfied if this plan worked and he did not have to use military force," the foreign minister said, according to AFP.

In truth, the "scaremongering" is mainly due to the United States. Washington has been warning of an alleged imminent attack on Ukraine since November. The panic was intensified with the withdrawal of embassy staff.

The pressure on the financial system comes from Wall Street and other markets, which have panicked and could drag fragile countries like Ukraine into the abyss. Investors are fleeing not only Russian stocks, but Ukrainian ones as well.

The U.S. and its allies are thus themselves contributing to Ukraine's weakening with their war cries. However, help is also on the way: on Monday, the EU Commission announced a new financial package worth billions of euros.

Now we understand better why. The EU is paying for the damage caused by US policy. As is so often the case...

Translated with www.DeepL.com/Translator (free version)

and that is the future of the #internet : facebook does not allow his posts for being „political advertising“...