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#climatechange

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diane_a@diasp.org
๐••๐•š๐•’๐•Ÿ๐•–๐•’

"Our model shows that a catastrophic collapse in human population due to resource consumption is the most likely scenario of the dynamical evolution based on current parameters. Adopting a combined deterministic and stochastic model, we conclude from a statistical point of view that the probability that our civilization survives itself is less than 10% in the most optimistic scenario.

Calculations show that maintaining the actual rate of population growth and resource consumption, in particular forest consumption, we have a few decades left before an irreversible collapse of our civilization. Making the situation even worse, we stress once again that it is unrealistic to think that the decline of the population in a situation of strong environmental degradation would be a non-chaotic and well-ordered decline."

Less than 10% in the most optimistic scenario

Wouldn't be surprised if it was a magnitude quicker with covid and other accelerated pathogens

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-020-63657-6

#climatechange

Deforestation and world population sustainability: a quantitative analysis - Scientific Reports

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vincezd@pod.geraspora.de
Vince zd

#bonnenouvelle #goodnews #ecosia

Au Sรฉnรฉgal: une famille passe d'une terre aride ร  une forรชt en seulement 5 ans

https://fr.blog.ecosia.org/fr/ (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uwufRbQZve8)

Comme de nombreuses autres familles de Kaffrine, au Sรฉnรฉgal, ils avaient du mal ร  faire pousser des cultures sur leurs terres. Sans arbres pour la protรฉger du soleil et du vent, la terre se dessรฉchait.

#sรฉnรฉgal #senegal #รฉcologie #reforestation #agriculture #treesforthefuture #arbres #platingtrees #climatechange

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jaywink@jasonrobinson.me
Jason Robinson ๐Ÿ ๐Ÿป

2023 was most a really nice year, personally. Obviously being extremely privileged, living in a country which isn't at war, isn't really suffering from #climatechange (yet) and isn't a total police state (yet, we're going that way). I made new social connections, kept old ones alive and dug deeper into the wonderful world of #polyamory (๐Ÿ˜˜'s to my darlings). I had many wonderful moments with my kids, who all stayed healthy and are growing up to be fantastic, if not sometimes annoying, little human beings. I traveled, visiting Brussels for FOSDEM + friends and then Prague, all by train, and then a family trip to the UK by plane. I went to awesome #gigs, the highlights being Jinjer, Gojira (twice!), Trivium, Ignea, Huora, Vimma, Infected Rain, 22-Pistepirkko, Soilwork and many others. I almost broke my leg in a moshpit ๐Ÿค˜. I went on more dates than I can remember. I attended many marches, against the populist right wing government Finns decided to vote in, but also to demand more climate action. I also attended various XR actions, though not as many as I would have liked. I survived three rounds of layoffs.

But most of all, the year was about #cycling. I managed to log 182 activities into Strava for a total of 3227km, which is more than 2022 and 2021 combined (1503km and 1280km, respectively). I made my first 100km+ day ride by visiting Porvoo and tested out some bikepacking gear during rides in Tallinn and Tampere. I also started planning my first proper multi-week #bikepacking trip in central Europe for May 2024.

Still, seeing the year as positive does require forgetting a lot of things that are not personal. Like the utter failure of #humanity to converge on climate action. Personally, I've already lost hope. We're just going to ride over that cliff. How big the drop is just depends on what we do to mitigate it. Currently we're not doing much, and the direction isn't necessarily going to improve. With right wing governments on the rise, climate action just isn't going to be a priority. And at least in the democratic countries, you can't go blaming "the government for not doing anything" when it's the voters who are gullible fools, voting populist right wing parties for very very selfish reasons. We, the citizens of these countries, are responsible for change not happening. Maybe this crisis is just too big for our species to handle.

2023 was also the most violent year in a long time, with more #conflicts globally than we have had since a long time. While the world should be converging on the big issues, we're doing what humanity knows best - building borders based on imaginary nationalist ideas and smashing each other to pieces.

Can we, as a species, improve in 2024? That remains to be seen.

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smokeinfog@diasp.org
SmokeInFog

Amazon drought: 'We've never seen anything like this'

The Amazon rainforest experienced its worst drought on record in 2023. Many villages became unreachable by river, wildfires raged and wildlife died. Some scientists worry events like these are a sign that the world's biggest forest is fast approaching a point of no return.

As the cracked and baking river bank towers up on either side of us, Oliveira Tikuna is starting to have doubts about this journey. He's trying to get to his village, in a metal canoe built to navigate the smallest creeks of the Amazon.

Bom Jesus de Igapo Grande is a community of 40 families in the middle of the forest and has been badly affected by the worst drought recorded in the region.

There was no water to shower. Bananas, cassava, chestnuts and acai crops spoiled because they can't get to the city fast enough.

And the head of the village, Oliveira's father, warned anyone elderly or unwell to move closer to town, because they are dangerously far from a hospital.

Oliveira wanted to show us what was happening. He warned it would be a long trip.

But as we turn from the broad Solimรตes river into the creek that winds towards his village, even he is taken aback. In parts it's reduced to a trickle no more than 1m (3.3ft) wide. Before long, the boat is lodged in the river bed. It's time to get out and pull.

. . .

#Amazon #AmazonRainForest #drought #climateChange #climateCrisis #BBC

Amazon drought: 'We've never seen anything like this'

This year's heat and drought in the Amazon intensify worries that it is approaching a tipping point.

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mlansbury@despora.de
Mark Lansbury

We can't save the world with electric cars

Going electric does not solve our problems, it only deepens them. As engineers, we must say the opinion of the professionals in the industry is contrary to the mainstream, and for good reason, Zsolt Horvรกth and Tamรกs Ignรกcz write.

Weโ€™ve known for a long time that our GDP addiction and capitalist economic model are incompatible with life on Earth.

Scientists kept saying that for decades, yet very little happened. A few years ago, the electrification of passenger vehicles had begun its journey, hoping it could reduce CO2 emissions to save the planet.

Not only does it not help โ€” it worsens the situation, and yet we keep heading towards a disaster.

https://www.euronews.com/next/2023/12/26/we-cant-save-the-world-with-electric-cars

#EV #GlobalWarming #ClimateChange #Co2 #carbon #electric #energy #Green #GreenEnergy #transport #cars #GDP #addictions #capitalism #economic

We can't save the world with electric cars

Going electric does not solve our problems, it only deepens them. As engineers, we must say the opinion of the professionals in the industry is contrary to the mainstream, and for good reason, Zsolt Horvรกth and Tamรกs Ignรกcz write.

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