#voterfraud

jarnhandr@diaspora.glasswings.com

Fraud about Votes

...Which is not the same thing as vote fraud. Not by a long, long way.

The Guardian is reporting that the Heritage Foundation, a right-wing Washington "think-tank" (aka, lobbying organization) spent $5 million in 2021 lobbying for voter suppression laws in battleground states. Why? Well, clearly, to combat the terrible problem of vote fraud!

And if you believe that, I can make you a great one-time deal on this bridge that I'm storing in Brooklyn.

So let's talk a bit about vote fraud. Let's use the Heritage Foundation's OWN RESOURCES for it.

Resources?
Yes, the Heritage Foundation maintains a voter fraud database. It goes back 40 years of US voting records.

Let's talk some numbers a bit and rough out what that means in terms of numbers. 40 years is 20 election cycles. There are 50 US states, so we're talking 1000 elections-in-states. In most of those elections, many, many offices were up for election. Probably somewhere between 100 million and 200 million people voted in each of those 20 election cycles, in all, given the wretched level of US voter turnout, so we're talking somewhere between two billion and four billion times over those forty years that a person went into an election booth and filled out a ballot for one or more electoral races.

So, how much of a problem do you think voter fraud is? How many cases of provable vote fraud does the Heritage Foundation have in its database over those forty years?

Go on, just take a guess.

...OK, I'll tell you.

One thousand, four hundred and two.

Remember that elections-in-states number above? The Heritage Foundation says that in each election cycle over the last forty years, on average, 1.4 fraudulent ballots were submitted in each state.

Excuse me a moment while I die from the shock. This is CLEARLY a TERRIBLE, URGENT problem. One in every 2.13 MILLION ballots cast over the past 40 years was provably fraudulent!

That is 0.0000467% of ballots.

Let's put that number in perspective. If you had a 0.0000467% chance of dying each year, there would be a 0.5% chance that you would die during your first 10,000 years of life. By 100,000 years, your chance of dying has risen to a terrifying 4.6%.

All of those 1,402 provable vote fraud cases, if they were rolled into a single local or state election in a single state in a single year, would probably have been enough to swing one state or local office. But probably not enough to swing a single seat in Congress.

So if anyone agitating for voter suppression tells you that the US has a terrible problem of voter fraud that needs voting restrictions to combat it, you can tell them that they are full of shit, and that the Heritage Foundation's own voter fraud database proves it.

#elections #voting #VoterFraud #VoteSuppression