#crimea

faab64@diasp.org

Ukrainian consultant Stus a few days ago, voiced the threat of using a “dirty” bomb against Russia, created from radioactive waste and conventional explosives

He is not Russian, so I am sure no one will take it seriously and those concerned will be called Putin supporters!

But since yesterdays #suicidebombing in #Crimea, the level of silence and amazing "selective" way of how media avoid calling it for suicide attack and keep calling it for explosion, truck explosion, fire and even as some Ukrainian have said "Russian false flag" bomb; if a dirty bomb is exploded in #Russia, they will surely blame it on #Russia and #Putin.
#UkraineWar #Hypocrisy #DoubleStandard

https://www.reddit.com/r/N_N_N/comments/xz4pd7/ukrainian_consultant_stus_a_few_days_ago/

PS. for those who say the attack was not a suicide bombing, here is a CCTV camera of the attack:
https://www.reddit.com/r/N_N_N/comments/xyuvm1/crimean_bridge_explosion/

faab64@diasp.org

After recent suicide bombing in #Crimea will we hear calls from world leaders to designate #Zelensky and #Ukraine #terrorist supporters?

Wonder if US is going to change their classification of Kobar bbing and attack against USS Cole to remove the terrorism classification?

Or #SuicideBombing is OK when targets are #Russian?

Going to hear some lovely excuses from Z lovers here if they care to comment.

#UkraineWar #Politics #Hypocrisy #Palestine #Israel #Kobar

olladij@diaspora.permutationsofchaos.com

Being far from Western democratic standards, #Azerbaijan is regularly criticised by the #EuropeanUnion and the United States. And yet the hands of the #West are tied. The reason is that Azerbaijan is one of the very few gas suppliers that can help #Europe to reduce its dependence on #Gazprom at least to some extent, even if not completely. The TAP pipeline brings Azerbaijan’s natural gas to the Adriatic coast of #Italy, and the volume of supplies through this pipeline is going to double.
#Armenia also has good relations with the West: it signed an association agreement with the #EU under Serzh Sargsyan (the provisions that irritated #Russia were allegedly removed from the text) and has been successfully participating in the Eastern Partnership programme. Armenia is particularly close to European rivals of #Turkey: #France, #Greece and #Cyprus. All this results in a concoction that seems rather bizarre nowadays: the country feels equally comfortable with Sputnik and Radio Liberty, with radically pro-Russian and pro-Western players being active in the political arena (the latter accusing Russia of aggression against #Ukraine).

https://ridl.io/no-nbsp-longer-a-nbsp-unique-conflict/ #war #usa #osce #crimea #karabakh

olladij@diaspora.permutationsofchaos.com

A major question that is being raised is how long the said #conflict will continue. After all, in no way does it fit into the timeframe of the announced Russian "blitzkrieg" or that of active hostility phases in any of the wars waged in the early 21st century. In any case, the war has been lasting for months already. And there is every reason to believe that it is not going to end anywhere within 2022.
In this regard, it is natural to look into the prospects for the next year and go beyond just predictions and assumptions. Such outlook should be totally practical. Namely, how far should Ukraine’s military ambitions extend? Also, as a logical derivative of this question, what help exactly does the Armed Forces of #Ukraine need from partners for the coming year 2023?

https://www.ukrinform.net/rubric-ato/3566404-prospects-for-running-a-military-campaign-in-2023-ukraines-perspective.html #war #military #russia #crimea #kherson #weapons

olladij@diaspora.permutationsofchaos.com

The question posed in the title of this article may seem rhetorical when applied to the international situation: Of course, much has changed. #Russia has deployed a full-scale #military operation on the territory of a neighbouring state and has been subjected to harsh sanctions introduced by many countries, some of which were, and still are, its key trading partners. But how seriously has Russia’s domestic political life changed in six months? I believe that the changes are insignificant. Moreover, the events of 24 February fit perfectly into the long-term logic of the development of Russia’s political regime.

https://ridl.io/six-months-later-what-has-changed/ #war #media #ukraine #putin #kazakhstan #navalny #repression #crimea

olladij@diaspora.permutationsofchaos.com

Although the end of the year is still far away and many trends may still change, 2022 has undoubtedly been quite unique for the Russian #economy. In terms of the depth of the economic downturn, it is certainly going to ‘outdo’ the #crisis year of 2009, when the Russian Federation’s #GDP shrank by 7.9%. When it comes to de‑globalisation, it will surpass all parameters of 2014−2015, when #Russia was first subjected to Western #sanctions following the occupation of #Crimea and efforts to provoke separatism in the eastern regions of #Ukraine. That said, the current crisis differs significantly from the previous ones­ in terms of its dynamics: unlike in the past, there has been ­no sharp depreciation of the rouble (this ­year, its value was restored, which was not the case ­previously); the stock market decline has also been much ­less significant (going down by one third now versus shrinking twice in 2014−2015 and almost five times in 2008−2009). But the most paradoxical factor in my view is the situation in foreign trade and the balance of payments.

https://ridl.io/russian-economy-after-six-months-of-nbsp-war/ #war #oil #eu

olladij@diaspora.permutationsofchaos.com

To mark its first Independence Day since Russian President Vladimir #Putin sent his armies to conquer the country, #Ukraine is holding a ghost parade.
Khreschatyk Street, #Kyiv’s grandest boulevard, is lined this week with the carcasses of burned and battered Russian fighting machines, destroyed in Ukraine’s surprisingly robust defense against the invasion launched by #Moscow six months ago.
The “procession” of more than 70 treadless tanks and crumpled artillery launchers is a bizarre inversion of the triumphant procession Russian commanders had hoped to conduct through a captured capital.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2022/08/24/ukraine-independence-russia-war-statehood/ #weapons #war #uk #crimea #zelensky #dugina

olladij@diaspora.permutationsofchaos.com

Generally speaking, in August 2021, the Russian Armed Forces had 168 battalion tactical groups (BTGs). These are the ‘permanent readiness’ forces that were more trained and equipped for combat operations than any other. Considering that the number of personnel in each BTG was 800 to 1,000, the total number of Russian ‘permanent readiness’ troops fell in the range of 134,500 to 168,000 on the eve of the #war. At the same time, it is worth remembering that the total invasion force initially numbered 190,000 men, which, alongside BTGs, also included battlefield-ready National Guard units, with ‘Kadyrov’s men’ among them, and the units recruited in the #Donetsk and #Luhansk regions. At the same time, it is still difficult to provide an estimate of the reserves that #Russia had at that time, but it is unlikely to exceed an additional 100,000 men for the armed forces. Considering that these reserves were used by the end of the fifth month of the war, the US #military believe that #Moscow had already engaged 85% of the total available army, one way or another. Hence, the loss of 70,000−80,000 men, whether killed or wounded, in the context of the ongoing war raises the question of whether such an #army can ever return home.

https://ridl.io/the-finite-army/ #ukraine #weapons #crimea #fsb

olladij@diaspora.permutationsofchaos.com

#Russia is continuing to deny that the massive explosions at a Crimean military base at #Saki that destroyed up to nine of its warplanes were caused by an attack. As the Institute for the Study of #War noted, “the #Kremlin has little incentive to blame Ukraine” since, by doing so, it will admit to serious weaknesses in Russia’s air-defence system. Instead, the Chair of the Crimean Tatar #Mejlis, Refat Chubarov, believes, Russia opted to avenge itself for the humiliation experienced by new mass arrests of Crimean Tatars on fabricated charges One of the motives for the armed searches and arrests of Crimean Tatars has, from the outset, been #propaganda aimed at presenting the main indigenous people of #Crimea, who do not conceal their strong identification with #Ukraine, as a threat. The arrests are also known to bring bonuses or promotion to the #FSB officers and may, therefore, have been planned, but the timing now might well be deliberate.

https://khpg.org/en/1608811021 #repression #Hizb-ut-Tahrir #terror

faab64@diasp.org

#Ukraine claims 60 dead, 100 wounded, in blasts on #Crimea as satellite images show destroyed Russian aircraft

Anton Gerashenko, an adviser to the Ukrainian minister of internal affairs, claimed on Thursday that 60 pilots and technicians had been killed and 100 people wounded in a series of explosions at a Russian #Saki air base on the Black Sea Crimean Peninsula on Tuesday. Since #Russia’s annexation of Crimea in 2014, the air base has housed the Russian 43rd Independent Naval Assault Air Squadron.

The Saki air base is at least 125 miles or 200 kilometers from the closest Ukrainian military position and none of the weapons and ammunition officially in the arsenal of the Ukrainian army can strike targets that far away. The ammunition for the American-made #HIMARS rocket system, which the US has been officially delivering since May, can only hit targets of a distance of up to 50 miles.

The #German magazine Spiegel surmised that the blasts could have been caused by a Ukrainian Grim-2 short range missile, which has been in development since 2003 and could strike targets at a distance of up to 280 kilometers. Alternatively, the #Spiegel noted, Ukraine could have used a modified #Neptun missile which may have also caused the sinking of the #Moskva. In either scenario, Russian missile defense systems on Crimea could have only been circumvented by American #AGM-88 #anti-radar #missiles. Remnants of such a missile were recently found on Ukrainian territory even though the US has not confirmed that AGM-88 missiles were among the weapons and ammunition that #Washington has officially delivered to Ukraine.

The Spiegel wrote, “This could mean that Kiev’s most important partners may have delivered also other weapons to Ukraine in secret, such as the MGM-140 Army Tactical Missile System (#ATACMS). The ATACMS can be used by the American HIMARS as well as the German and #British M-270 multiple launch rocket systems, which have been deployed in Ukraine for the past several weeks and have been causing serious problems, especially for Russian logistics. Currently, they [these rocket systems] can only reach up to 80 kilometers with the GMLRS-rockets, but with ATACMS they could reach up to 300 kilometers, which theoretically could make strikes on Crimea possible.”

https://www.wsws.org/en/articles/2022/08/13/rvpn-a13.html