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Chas Freeman Talks About the Attack on Russia's Strategic Defense System

Well I think there is a basic rule of statecraft in the nuclear age and that is that no great nuclear power can afford to appear to be undermining the nuclear deterrent or the strategic defense of a rival. And yet that is exactly what Ukraine apparently acting as a proxy for the United States is doing. It is attacking the Russian early warnings system which is an integral part of Russia's nuclear deterrent. And in this is a strategic assault on Russia, and it will probably draw a strategic reaction.

The fact that we have not seen a particular action from the Russians to date is not reassuring. It probably represents deliberations in Moscow about how to respond without starting World War 3, which is not an impossible outcome if this strategic rivalry continues un-controlled.

So this is a very serious development, it has as you indicated all the earmarks of a systematic effort to undermine Russian strategic security. Two attacks, two sites, I believe I may be poorly informed, that there are 10 such sites protecting Moscow. This represents an effort to knock out 20% of Russia's early warning system, it is not insignificant. And I also understand that unlike the United States which relies heavily on satellite space-born detection systems, the Russians are heavily dependent on these ground stations. So that the net effect of eliminating these is to reduce warning time very substantially, leaving the Russian leadership with almost no time to make a decision about how to respond to a detected possible attack.

This is particularly alarming because there have been in the past mistaken detections of such attacks and it has only been the actions of responsible officials on the Russian side - given the time to deliberate - that has prevented them from responding to a perceived nuclear attack with their own Counterattack on the United States and other targets.

[...]

The most remarkable thing reflecting the strategic complacency and lack of intelligence of much of the West is the extent to which this danger has not been identified in the mainstream media. I know that your own executive intelligence review has and the Schiller Institute have issued a warning and covered this issue carefully, but that is not true of the mainstream media, which suggests a level of military and strategic illiteracy on the part of the current crop of journalists that is quite frightening.

--- How Close is Nuclear War After The Attack on Russia’s Strategic Defense System – IPC Meeting #52

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