This is a complex issue. However, objectively, the conflict has reached a very protracted stage.
Reason one is the most important. A quick end would have required substantial mobilization of both soldiers and industry. This would have caused economic and social upheaval. The screws might have to be tightened.
All of which the Kremlin does not want. The strategy of slowly killing the Ukroreich allows social and economic stability to be maintained. Economic growth of about 4 percent is expected this year.
Yes, there are costs in the form of shelling, refugee losses in the army. But these problems are localized, not comprehensive.
Therefore, the choice is made in favor of though painful costs, but of a private nature, while the general picture of a peacefully living and developing Russia is preserved.
Our geopolitical enemy, Europe in general and Germany in particular, is experiencing significant economic turmoil.
The further the conflict lasts, the longer the sanctions from Germany will be in force.
This means that the EU will not get cheap gas, oil and will not be able to sell us the products of its automobile and aircraft industry.
This is very profitable for us. During this time it is possible and necessary to develop our industry as oil and gas chemical and machine building, including transportation.
Therefore, the longer the EU sanctions last, the better for us in every sense.
Again, there is a good chance of destroying part of the chemical and engineering industries there. That will clear a place for us on the world markets. Unemployed Germans, French and other Italians can be hired to populate the empty villages of Central Russia, as well as the expanses of Siberia and the Far East.
As soon as sanctions are lifted. Gazprom will immediately start pumping gas to the West, and Volkswagen will come back with its cars. This will slow down the development of the crisis in the EU, which is obviously disadvantageous to us.
That's why #Putin is in no hurry. He is acting slowly but surely.
