0 Persons are tagged with #confirmationbias

#confirmationbias

thefifthseason@venera.social
Fortuitous

Lets play a game.

The premise is this:
I am going to pick three numbers out of all the numbers in the universe by using a secret rule. Your task is to figure out the rule I am using.

I'll do this as a thread by using the comment section to continue the clues (don't read the last one for the answer until you've given it a try).

Ready?

2 - 4 - 6

#Quiz #Game #Question #Psychology #ConfirmationBias

14 Comments
noam@libranet.de
Noam writes

I'm asking you to stop, take a step back, and reflect.

One thing I've learned, as an Israeli lefty living in the UK for a long time, is how strong and prevalent #ConfirmationBias is.

You've surely heard about the bombing of a hospital in #Gaza. My impression is that most Israelis believe that #Hamas or #PIJ did it (accidentally or on purpose), and most lefties outside of Israel believe that #Israel did it (accidentally or on purpose).

If you're sure about it either way, there's a good chance that you are wrong. Wrong about the facts. Instead of shouting about it, take this as an opportunity to consider confirmation bias. Your own confirmation bias, that is. Why were you quick to believe something that might be wrong? Consider that you might be wrong about other things in this conflict, believing whatever supports your narrative. Own it.

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digit@iviv.hu
Digit

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MY0XGtijebQ
How To Harness The Power Of “Magic” (Scientifically Proven) w/ Dean Radin PhD :: Duration: 01:36:53 :: Views: 22,977 :: Uploader: Aubrey Marcus :: Uploaded: 2023-03-08 :: 1,248 likes
#health #aubreymarcus #deanradin
#placebo #psychicphenomena #science #belief #technologies #tools #dogma #magic #mysticism #mysticexperiences #space #outterspace #innerspace #psychology #sociology #civilisationshift #paradigmshift #nosecrets #radicaltransparency #gnosis #channelling #clairevoyance #telepathy #clairesentience #supression #oppression #parasitism #deception #wisdom #spiritualmonopoly #spiritualdemocracy #spiritualscience #spiritscience #witch #witchcraft #witchhunt #hypocrisy #catholicism #catholicmagic #secondcoming #christinall #socialcontrol #demonic #denomic #domination #denominational #spritualhegemony #spiritualstultification #decievers #agnotology #wilfulignorance #censorship #curiousity #taboo #religioustrappings #separationofchurchandstate #medicalindustrialcomplex #deathcult #murdercult #medicalmadness #churchofmoney #scientism #corruption #theylie #statusquo #confirmationbias #comfortinglies #ifignoranceisblissgivemeagony #oppressive #burnedatthestake #cancelled #falseequivalence #qualitativedifferences #ostricised #suicided #inquisition #hovering #levitation #creation #competition #reverie #prayer #pastlives #thislife #resonance #waterresonance #watercutting #sympatheticresonance #fieldofbelief #collectiveunconscious #morphicresonance #disbelief #possibility #openpotential #humility #miasma #vibe #lifttheworld #sourcery #secrecy #laboratory #experiments #projection #negativity #intentionology #belieffield #miracles #thetruthwellout #entertainment #art #magicisreal #fantasy #myths #modernmyths #theurgy #psychicability #ayahuasca #profound #eukarot #trance #coincidence #justcoincidence #suspensionofbelief #limitingbeliefs #nonbelief #presence #aerokinesis #aerokineticeffect #thewindcame #thebatsswirlled #repeatability #livereality #irreproduceable #biases #cantgettherefromhere #livescience #canneverstepintothesamerivertwice #food #cooking #intention #intentionalcooking #grace #blessed #control #study #clinicaltrial #chocolate #mood #doubleblindcontrolledstudy #confoundingfactors #statisticallysignificant #statisticallysignificantresults #monks #expectations #beleifdrivenoutcome #beliefmodulatedeffects #placeboplus #weallhavethecapability #mendwards #blessedwater #merlinclasswizards #psychoticbreak #meditation #perception #geomagnetism #lunarcycles #moonphases #solarstorms #solarflares #solarweather #weildbelief #discipline #fascinating #intriguing #curious #psychedelics #psychedelia #psychenauts #connection #timeline #betterworld #searching #finding #thepuzzle #thestory #dystopian #existentialrisk #heartsknow #anotherreality #themorebeautifulworld

digit@iviv.hu
Digit

could be worth a read . . .
maybe meditate for a breath first. :)
https://articles.mercola.com/sites/articles/archive/2023/02/15/amnesty-for-an-apology.aspx
#mercola #genocideapologistry #tuckercarlson #scammed #genocide #partizanship #groupthink #confirmationbias #noexcuse
bewaretheapologist
#fakeawake #fakecine #twofaced #fakeapology #eugenics #genocide #keepingupappearances #gaslightingvictims #smearingwhistleblowers #wealthtransfer #wealthdestruction #healthdestruction #aPatientCuredIsACustomerLost #ForProfitMedicine #Oxymoron #censorship #massformationpsychosis #totalitarianism #medicaltyranny #covidzealotry #murderzealotry #usefulidiots #justdoingyourjob #unethical #immoral #compliance #inducecompliance #terrorism #superstateterrorism #medicalterrorism #NEVERAGAIN #nextpandemic #plandemic #scamdemic #theyarenotdoneyet
#stopit #nocullnecessary #realseriousscience #FaceTheHorror #ReEvaluate

They're trying to figure out how to regain people's trust because, without it, finalizing the implementation of The Great Reset will be far more problematic than if people follow their lead and do as they're told.

Which leads me to my bottom line analysis: the powers that be are Monday morning quarterbacking. Why didn't people just do what we said and obediently comply? Because they don't trust us. If they trusted the media, the government, and scientists, they would do what they were told …

Bass is the puppet they've sent out to deliver this narrative … [T]he only reason one Monday morning quarterbacks is so that one can win the next game. They want to identify how better to induce compliance for the next pandemic …

The degree of lack of awareness of reality itself that was required to think that this message would work to shift the narrative could be attributed to a few of things — youth, inexperience, low IQ … So GOOD. It means we're dealing with weakness. All we have to do is be stronger (smarter, more experienced, braver) and we will win. We will continue to win."

#Nuremberg #bioethics #universaldeclarationbioethicshumanrights #humanrights
https://en.unesco.org/about-us/legal-affairs/universal-declaration-bioethics-and-human-rights

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digit@iviv.hu
Digit

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bKP6DU6Vjt0

#bias #behaviouralscience #psychology #groupthink #interesting #introspectioncueing

#confirmationbias #cognitiveillusions

#insuficientinformation #engagelogicalslowthinking #withholdprematureconclusion #tapthebreaks
#biastoeasyanswers #biastonarratives #narratives #inconsiderate #bullying #usvsthem #redvsblue
#cherrypicking #evidencecherrypicking #cherrypickingevidence
#seeingwhatyouwanttosee #usingreasoningtofitprejudice #illusions

#massformationpsychosis #howithappens
"We make many of our most important decisions based on what can only be called cognitive illusions. This is embarrassing for us to realise, but the evidence for it is undeniable."
so to that, i say:
"there is no shame in the truth." -- Minbari Religious Cast Elder to Student, Babylon5.
"head into the wave." -- me / old saying / unattributed
as in find your way to where you no longer defeat yourself with your subborn clinging to your self image as one who makes no such errors.
embrace the errors.
then you are on the path. then you are learning.
our confirmation bias, our cognitive illusions, are due eternal vigilance, to not succumb to their blinding arogance and mental/investigative/scrutinative sloth.

this is true whether stupid, or oh so much more clever.
especially if you are oh so much more clever.
because if you really are oh so much more clever, you will suffer more fuel on that fire.
and also, thinking you're oh so much more clever, is improbably true. not that i'm saying truth's always derivable, or even aproachable, through simple statistical analysis, but... since we're always going on a little information, and the dangerousness of how little that information is, can be worsened by how much littler we make it by our confirmation-biasing, cognitive illusions, our slothful lazy hastey grasp on shortcuts, we dont even realise, we're doing it, we dont even realise how little we have, and we tell ourselves we have a lot, we tell ourselves as much as we have, is a lot of what there is, even to the extreme, that it's all there is. unwittingly, we become know it alls, with next to nothing. and we think we're the smarty-est.

there's no shame in the truth.

we're not that smart.

we're not as smart as we think we are. no shame in the truth, that we think we're smart, and that we think that's smarter than we are.

knowing this,

helps us get smarter.

wiser.

wise enough to continue learning.

wise enough to catch ourselves from short-handed thinking.

wise enough to see when we have, and wise enough eagerly accept that, and even point it out to others. wise enough to accept we'll likely never absolutely be beyond this, and even more likely are not beyond it right now, and so reapplies the humility introspective vigilance, not to identify as one who has risen above it, but to persist in plucking away and batting away all the times it has happened already, and all the times more oncoming.

"all i know is i know nothing, and sometimes i forget even that much." -- Me, often, but not often enough without vanity, not often enough really heeding what i (and socrates) mean by it.

#alliknowisiknownothing
#alliknowisiknownothingandsometimesiforgeteventhatmuch

still vulnerable to us-vs-them'ing. like you.

(ps, i forget where i got that link from, but thanks again to whoever shared it. ^ all that from merely first 20 minutes. .... lets see where it goes.)

#autopilotbiases #vulnerabletoattack #targetcues #pavlovsdog #socialmediacompanies #datamining #trolling #attentionseizing #mindcontrol #attentionplundering #sensationalism #cunninghamslaw #clickbait #fictionasfact #tabloids #attentionhacking #customerasproduct #attentionasproduct #theyareusingyou #polarisation #trustbuying #divideandconquer #uniteandconquer #familiariseandconquer #algorythm #algorythmicbias #algorythmicechochamber #echochamber #inducedignorance #comfortingignorance #ignorancesquared #arogance #appealmirror #insidetheappealmirrorball #othering #rippingappartthesocialfabric #nodiscourse #misinformation #mistruth #discourseevasion #discourseaversion #moralistic #outrage #hyperjudgementalism #hypernormalism #bonding #hypermoralism #hypermoralistic #witchhunt #redscare #introspectionevasion #introspectionaversion #disinformation #enflamingexistingbiases #existingbiases #biasmanufacturing #circularreasoning #falseflag #duped #outrage #outrageaddiction #fakenews #propaganda #hate #strengthasweakness #weaknessasstrength #irrational #irrationality #copiedirrelevancies #distraction #pantomime #monkeyseemonkeydo #smarterthanhumans #lackfilterforbadinformation #learningerrors #managedoppositions #economiccoercion #sockjocks #shockingestjockwins #clickbaitencouragement #usandthem #usandthemline #quickerthanwerealise #fearreflex #feartheother #they #cartoongeneralisation #generalisation #bigotry #poverty #unconsciousdistinctions #sympathy #iknow #autopilotprocesses #humanpotential #raisethebedrock #scarcitymindset #povertyprocupation #moneyimpoverishment #povertyiqreduction #povertystress #everybodysayingthesamethingjustdifferently #demagog #demagogs #demagoggery #conditioning #subconscious #mindhackers #sidelearnings #intentionalharms #unintentionalharms #fliesintheointment #FLYINTHEOINTMENT #hypocrisy #politicalcorrectness #freedomofspeech #makingourlivesbetter #freespeech #freethought #freewisdom
#cognitiveoverload #worry
#advertisingormarketing
#arewethebaddies

...
#consciousness
#universallove
#enlakech
#empathy
#consider

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wist@diasp.org
WIST

A quotation from Russell, Bertrand

Most people learn nothing from experience, except confirmation of their prejudices.

Bertrand Russell (1872-1970) English mathematician and philosopher
“The Lessons of Experience,” New York American (23 Sep 1931)

#quotation #quote #confirmationbias #experience #learning #lesson #prejudice
Sourcing / notes: https://wist.info/russell-bertrand/57566/

"The Lessons of Experience," New York American (23 Sep 1931) - Russell, Bertrand | WIST Quotations

Most people learn nothing from experience, except confirmation of their prejudices.

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deutschewelle@squeet.me
Deutsche Welle (inoffiziell)

Corona und Wissenschaft: Wer sagt die Wahrheit? | DW | 21.12.2021

Zur Pandemie, COVID-19 und SARS-CoV-2 kursiert viel Wissen, aber auch viel Desinformation. Um das Eine vom Anderen unterscheiden zu können, hilft es zu verstehen, wie Wissenschaft funktioniert.#Corona #Coronavirus #COVID-19SARS-CoV-2 #Wissenschaft #Forschung #Verschwörungserzählung #ChristianDrosten #UlrichDirnagl #RolandImhoff #Psychologie #confirmationbias #Skepsis #Falsifizierung
Corona und Wissenschaft: Wer sagt die Wahrheit? | DW | 21.12.2021

Corona und Wissenschaft: Wer sagt die Wahrheit? | DW | 21.12.2021

Zur Pandemie, COVID-19 und SARS-CoV-2 kursiert viel Wissen, aber auch viel Desinformation. Um das Eine vom Anderen unterscheiden zu können, hilft es zu verstehen, wie Wissenschaft funktioniert.

digit@joindiaspora.com
Digit

it is cringe,
finding oneself,
on the same side,
as the stopped clocks,
who usually have views you find abhorrent.
but i remain unshook,
not going to lie to conform,
not going to lie to not appear as the abhorrent.
unswayed by that social pressure,
to groupthink, to clique,
to parrot in action,
reaffirming,
the divide and conquer,
unthinking, sheeple shuffle,
side-eye, inner lie,
seeking truth in statistical probabilities,
within the confirmation bias silo,
no.
not doing that.
not the epistemologically sound way,
not integrity to the search for truth.
got integrity in the search for truth.
find an epistemologically sound way,
yes doing that.
yes.
outside the confirmation bias silo.
seeking truth beyond prejudicial presumptions,
look straight, look around,
think in, think out, think all about,
connect and rediscover,
requestioning,
re-harkening alter-view,
another perception, to click,
unswayed by that social pressure,
not going to lie to not appear as the abhorrent.
honoring free considerately,
none forsook,
not even those with views abhorrent.
sympathy for stopped clocks,
same side or not,
wherever found,
beyond first cringe.

#DigitsPoems #DigitsRaps #DigitsLyrics
#epistemology #sociology #anthropology #opinions #confirmationbias #openmind #closedmind #grothmindset #fixedmindset #groupthink #integrity #thesearchfortruth #communication #nonviolentcommunication #rethink #considerateness #prejudice #expectations #assumptions #presumptions #enlaketch #sympathy #cringe #stoppedclocks #divideandconquer #transcendence #dontgetsuckedin

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